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DTN Midday Grain Comments 11/18 10:52
Corn, Wheat Futures Higher at Midday Tuesday; Soybeans Flat-Higher
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents higher at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
flat to 1 cent higher; wheat futures are 1 to 6 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents higher at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are
flat to 1 cent higher; wheat futures are 1 to 6 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is weaker at midday with the S&P 40 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 5 points higher. The interest rate products are mixed. Energy trade is mixed
with crude .15 higher and natural gas is .09 lower. Livestock trade is mostly
lower. Precious metals are weaker with gold off 19.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 1 to 2 cents higher at midday with trade pressing back
toward the top of the range with steady to firmer spread action continuing.
Ethanol margins look to remain rangebound in the short-term with firmer corn
likely to narrow margins a bit. Harvest should be pretty well wrapped up. Basis
should continue to stabilize and firm in most areas with the well above normal
fall shipment and usage pace. On the December chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $4.29 with the next round up the fresh high at $4.42 3/4
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are flat to 1 cent higher with trade fading back from the
fresh highs scored overnight after the 14% year-on-year increase in crush
Monday along with finally seeing some China sales on the daily wire with
792,000 metric tons confirmed for this crop year. Meal is 4.50 to 5.50 lower
and oil is 115 to 125 points higher as soyoil edges towards overbought. Harvest
should show close to complete. South American weather continues to keep overall
concerns limited with some dry pockets in Brazil. Basis should continue to firm
seasonally with trade waiting for additional export confirmations. Weekly
export inspections improved slightly to 1.176 million metric tons (mmt) with
year-to-date pace falling to 57%. On the January chart, resistance is the
$11.69 1/2 area, where we find the fresh high from overnight with the 20-day
moving average well below the market at $11.08.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 1 to 6 cents higher with trade finding light buying at
midday as it continues to chop along the upper end of the recent range. Weather
should remain mostly favorable for the Plains in the short term. MATIF wheat is
slightly lower Tuesday morning. On the KC December chart, support is the 20-day
moving average at $5.18, which is where we closed, with the next round up the
fall high at $5.40 from earlier in the month.
**
Join us for DTN's post-report webinar at 12:30 p.m. CST, on Friday, Nov. 14,
as we discuss USDA's new estimates in light of recent market events. Questions
are welcome and registrants will receive a replay link for viewing at their
convenience. Register here for Friday's November WASDE report webinar:
https://www.dtn.com/wasde-webinars/.
**
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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